Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000740 0.000846 0.000959 0.001086 0.001227 0.001376 0.001547
2025-01-19 0.000561 0.000705 0.000869 0.001067 0.001299 0.001560 0.001875
2025-01-26 0.000486 0.000650 0.000845 0.001090 0.001388 0.001734 0.002164
2025-02-02 0.000426 0.000603 0.000822 0.001108 0.001467 0.001895 0.002441
2025-02-09 0.000365 0.000545 0.000777 0.001090 0.001494 0.001988 0.002633
2025-02-16 0.000313 0.000494 0.000734 0.001068 0.001510 0.002066 0.002804
2025-02-23 0.000283 0.000466 0.000719 0.001080 0.001570 0.002195 0.003040
2025-03-02 0.000255 0.000440 0.000703 0.001088 0.001620 0.002313 0.003264
2025-03-09 0.000220 0.000399 0.000662 0.001058 0.001617 0.002359 0.003393
2025-03-16 0.000190 0.000362 0.000623 0.001027 0.001610 0.002397 0.003511
2025-03-23 0.000171 0.000340 0.000606 0.001025 0.001642 0.002487 0.003698
2025-03-30 0.000154 0.000321 0.000590 0.001024 0.001674 0.002577 0.003887
2025-04-06 0.000136 0.000298 0.000567 0.001011 0.001690 0.002646 0.004050
2025-04-13 0.000119 0.000274 0.000540 0.000991 0.001693 0.002698 0.004190
2025-04-20 0.000111 0.000267 0.000541 0.001013 0.001759 0.002839 0.004458
2025-04-27 0.000104 0.000259 0.000539 0.001030 0.001818 0.002971 0.004714
2025-05-04 0.000091 0.000240 0.000516 0.001013 0.001823 0.003023 0.004858
2025-05-11 0.000080 0.000221 0.000493 0.000992 0.001820 0.003063 0.004984
2025-05-18 0.000074 0.000214 0.000489 0.001004 0.001869 0.003182 0.005226
2025-05-25 0.000068 0.000205 0.000482 0.001011 0.001910 0.003288 0.005451
2025-06-01 0.000058 0.000187 0.000457 0.000982 0.001893 0.003305 0.005543
2025-06-08 0.000050 0.000171 0.000432 0.000953 0.001872 0.003315 0.005626
2025-06-15 0.000045 0.000162 0.000422 0.000951 0.001896 0.003396 0.005815